"The central issue is not penguins or Trump's IQ" - Joana Amaral Dias
The central issue is not penguins or Trump's IQ. The
issue is uncertainty, whether we are leaving a nightmare to enter a night
terror or a paradise.
"Wow! So many people are mourning the announced end of globalization in the wake of Trump's tariffs. It seems that this model of development was so generous and beneficial.
The European elites and commentators are apoplectic and
predicting a major recession in the US and/or a destructive inflationary
process. Others simply declare that Trump is crazy, as if with this easy
adjective they could produce the finest geopolitical analysis.
But this globalization that they defend tooth and nail was
great for American hegemony after the collapse of the USSR, magnificent for
China and the white sharks of international finance, but devastating for public
finances, medium/small businesses and families who are now living much worse
than at the end of the last century.
In fact, unlike Universalism, Globalization is misanthropic.
It desires and builds hordes of people with no memory, no history, no roots, no
connections, amorphous and homogeneous masses that can be easily trained.
Never in the history
of mankind has there been so much instability, so many economic, currency and
banking crises as in these decades of Globalisation.
Globalisation has, above all, been a financial
process causing great disruption to national economies. There has been
unprecedented privatisation of companies and public services, brutal labour and
environmental deregulation.
The relocation of
productive and even intellectual sectors abroad has been haemorrhagic. The
effects of this globalisation are there for all to see: wage stagnation and
impoverishment, too little industry and too much financialisation, crippling
indebtedness, making it impossible for governments to fulfil basic social
functions.
It should be noted
that deglobalisation in today's multipolar world was only inevitable. It was
not a choice made by the US president but a consequence of the reorganisation
of world power.
There is a Rest of the
World that is increasingly defending its interests, is not afraid of the US and
is not submitting to the West, not least because it has reached high levels of
technological development, digitalisation, automation and Artificial
Intelligence.
While many countries
with weak economies have been severely chastised by supranational institutions
such as the IMF and the World Bank, there have been countries with political
and technological capacity that have taken advantage, such as China, which has
lifted 800 million out of poverty. Of course, the US couldn't continue with an
economy that is deindustrialising so that its companies can make profits in
other countries.
The US president wants
to re-industrialise (very much based on technological innovation), reduce
American dependence on global value chains, revive the economic frontier, protectionism and
political economy. Perhaps the markets will once again depend on the state and
financial capital will return to the centres of national power, no longer in
the hands of a super-caste. Maybe.
The central issue is not penguins or Trump's IQ. The issue
is uncertainty, whether we are leaving a nightmare to enter a night terror or a
paradise.
Why are we abandoning this predatory globalisation?
What answers does Europe have?
More federalism and more centralism?
More racing towards the abyss?
How good it would be to have a voice to pave the way..."
Comentários
Enviar um comentário